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Do News Play an Important Role in Technical Analysis and Trading?

Technical analysis is a popular approach to investing and trading that involves the use of chart patterns and other technical indicators to identify trends and predict price movements. Technical analysts believe that historical price data and trends, as well as the underlying psychology of the market, can be used to forecast future price movements and make informed investment decisions.

One key aspect of technical analysis is the belief that news and fundamental data are already priced into the market. In other words, technical analysts believe that the market has already taken into account all relevant information, including news events and economic data, and that this information is reflected in the current price of a security or market. As a result, technical analysts do not place much emphasis on news or fundamental data when carrying out their analysis.



Prices make the news, and not the other way round:

This belief is based on the idea that prices make the news, rather than news making the prices. In other words, technical analysts believe that price movements are the result of underlying market dynamics and investor sentiment, rather than being driven by specific news events or fundamental data. As a result, they believe that it is the price action itself, rather than the news or fundamental data, that is most important when carrying out technical analysis.


Why are news and fundamental data not so relevant for technical analysis?

There are a few key reasons why technical analysts may view news and fundamental data as being less important:

  1. News is often already priced in: As mentioned above, technical analysts believe that the market has already taken into account all relevant information and that this information is reflected in the current price of a security or market. As a result, they may view news events as being less important, since the market has already reacted to this information.

  2. Prices can be affected by psychological factors: Technical analysts believe that investor sentiment and psychology play a significant role in shaping market trends and price movements. As a result, they may view news events as being less important, since these events may not necessarily reflect the underlying psychological factors that are driving the market.

  3. Technical analysis is focused on historical data: Technical analysis is primarily focused on historical price data and trends, rather than on news or fundamental data. As a result, technical analysts may view news events as being less important, since they are not directly reflected in the historical data that is used for analysis.

News and fundamental information in the context of Elliott Wave analysis:

Elliott Wave analysis is a technical analysis approach that was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the early 20th century. It is based on the idea that market trends and price movements are the result of collective investor psychology and are therefore predictable. According to Elliott Wave theory, market trends and price movements can be observed in the form of repetitive patterns, known as waves, that can be used to forecast future price movements.

One key aspect of Elliott Wave analysis is the belief that news and fundamental data are not as important as investor sentiment and psychology when it comes to predicting price movements. This is because Elliott Wave theory is focused on understanding the underlying emotional and psychological factors that drive market trends and price movements, rather than on specific news events or economic data.

Elliott Wave analysts believe that market trends and price movements are the result of collective investor psychology and are therefore predictable. They believe that market trends and price movements can be observed in the form of repetitive patterns, known as waves, that can be used to forecast future price movements.

According to Elliott Wave theory, market trends and price movements are driven by the actions of market participants, who are driven by their emotions and psychological biases. As a result, Elliott Wave analysts believe that news and fundamental data are less important than investor sentiment and psychology when it comes to predicting price movements.

Elliott Wave analysts are primarily focused on understanding the underlying emotional and psychological factors that drive market trends and price movements, rather than on specific news events or economic data. They believe that these factors can be observed in the form of repetitive patterns, known as waves, that can be used to forecast future price movements.


Overall, while news events and fundamental data can certainly have an impact on the market, technical analysts believe that these factors are already reflected in the current price of a security or market and that it is the price action itself that is most important when carrying out technical analysis. Elliott Wave analysis places a greater emphasis on understanding the underlying emotional and psychological factors that drive market trends and price movements, rather than on specific news events or economic data.


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